Roanoke College Poll November 2017 Politics Topline

Roanoke College Poll Topline Gubernatorial Election - November 2017

November 3, 2017

Hi, I'm____________ and I'm calling from Roanoke College. How are you today/this evening? We're conducting a survey of Virginia residents regarding important issues and your opinion is very important to us. Your responses are confidential.

1. Are you registered to vote in Virginia?

Yes 100%
No [TERMINATE] 0%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the election for governor in November? Is it very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

Very likely 91%
Somewhat likely 9%
Not very likely [TERMINATE] 0%
Not likely at all [TERMINATE] 0%

Please tell me if you have a generally favorable or unfavorable impression of the following people or if you don't know enough about them to have formed an opinion:

3. Donald Trump

Favorable 34%
Unfavorable 55%
Mixed 8%
Don't know/Refused 4%

4. Terry McAuliffe

Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 34%
Mixed 11%
Don't know/Refused 17%

5. Ed Gillespie

Favorable 45%
Unfavorable 35%
Mixed 8%
Don't know/Refused 12%


6. Ralph Northam

Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 36%
Mixed 8%
Don't know/Refused 17%

7. Cliff Hyra

Favorable 3%
Unfavorable 10%
Mixed 4%
Don't know/Refused 84%

8. The Republican Party

Favorable 39%
Unfavorable 43%
Mixed 12%
Don't know/Refused 6%

9. The Democratic Party

Favorable 42%
Unfavorable 43%
Mixed 9%
Don't know/Refused 6%

7. If the election for governor was held today and you had to decide right now, would you vote for [ROTATE FIRST THREE; READ FIRST THREE ONLY]

Ed Gillespie, the Republican 46%
Ralph Northam, the Democrat 47%
Cliff Hyra, the Libertarian 3%
Undecided [VOLUNTERED ONLY] 4%
Refused [TERMINATE] 0%

7a. [IF UNSURE] Are you leaning toward voting for a particular candidate-Gillespie, Northam, or Hyra?

Gillespie 5%
Northam 12%
Hyra 0%
Undecided 83%


7b. Imagine that you are at the polling booth right now, about to cast your vote -- who do you vote for?

Gillespie 13%
Northam 4%
Hyra 3%
Undecided 80%

7c. TOTALS INCLUDING "LEANERS" [CALCULATED]

Gillespie 47%
Northam 47%
Hyra 3%
Undecided 3%

8. If the election for lieutenant governor was held today and you had to decide right now, would you vote for [ROTATE FIRST TWO; READ FIRST TWO ONLY]

Justin Fairfax, the Democrat 45%
Jill Vogel, the Republican 45%
Undecided [VOLUNTERED ONLY] 10%

9. If the election for attorney general was held today and you had to decide right now, would you vote for [ROTATE FIRST THREE; READ FIRST THREE ONLY]

John Adams, the Republican 46%
Mark Herring, the Democrat 46%
Undecided [VOLUNTERED ONLY] 8%

10. What is the most important issue to you in this election?

Economy--jobs, unemployment, debt, etc. 20%
Health care/ Obamacare 16%
Education 10%
Taxes 7%
Honesty/character/corruption 6%
Gun control/gun rights 4%
Immigration 4%
Leadership 3%
Stopping Donald Trump 3%
Race relations/Confederate statutes 2%
Crime/police/violence 2%
Abortion 2%
Transportation/infrastructure 2%
Pipelines/climate change/environment 2%
Budget deficit/ debt 1%
Drugs/opioid epidemic 1%
Other 11%
Refused 6%

11. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President of the United States?

Approve 36%
Disapprove 53%
Mixed 9%
Don't Know/Refused 2%

12. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Terry McAuliffe is handling his job as Governor of Virginia?

Approve 43%
Disapprove 36%
Mixed 14%
Don't Know/Refused 7%

Regardless of your vote intention, please tell me if you think Ed Gillespie or Ralph Northam would do a better job as governor on the following issues.

13. Improving the state's economy?

Gillespie 47%
Northam 39%
Equal/Unsure 13%
Refused 2%

14. Health care?

Gillespie 37%
Northam 49%
Equal/Unsure 13%
Refused 1%

15. Bringing more and better jobs to Virginia?

Gillespie 44%
Northam 40%
Equal/Unsure 15%
Refused 2%

16. Dealing more effectively with immigration?

Gillespie 44%
Northam 39%
Equal/Unsure 15%
Refused 2%

17. Education?

Gillespie 40%
Northam 46%
Equal/Unsure 13%
Refused 2%

18. Taxes?

Gillespie 47%
Northam 37%
Equal/Unsure 14%
Refused 1%


19. Issues related to guns?

Gillespie 45%
Northam 39%
Equal/Unsure 14%
Refused 2%

20. Code respondent's sex [NOT ASKED]

Male 49%
Female 51%

21. Region

Southwest Virginia 11%
Southside 8%
Shenandoah Valley 7%
Central Virginia/Richmond 20%
Northern Virginia 31%
Tidewater 24%

22. Thanks so much for your patience. I have a few questions about you for statistical purposes. Are you currently married, living with a partner, divorced, separated, widowed, or have you never been married?

Married 69%
Living with partner 2%
Divorced 4%
Separated 1%
Widowed 5%
Never married 19%
Refused 1%

23. How much education have you completed?

Less than high school 1%
High School 10%
Some college/technical school 22%
Associate's Degree 9%
Bachelor's Degree 34%
Advanced Degree 23%
Refused 0%

24. In what year were you born? [CODED INTO CATEGORIES]

18-29 13%
30-44 23%
45-64 46%
65 or older 18%
Refused 1%


25. Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin?

Yes, Hispanic 5%
No, not Hispanic 94%
No answer 2%

26. What is your race? Are you White, African-American, or some other race?

White / Hispanic / Latino 74%
African-American 20%
Other/multi-racial 4%
Refused 2%

27. I'm going to read several income groups. When I come to the group that includes your annual family income, please stop me.

Less than $20,000      4%
$20,000-$35,000         5%
$35,000-$50,000        11%
$50,000-$75,000        18%
$75,000-$100,000       15%
More than $100,000    37%
Refused                       10%

28. Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate or conservative?

Liberal 19%
Moderate 38%
Conservative 37%
Other/Unsure 3%
Refused 4%

29. And would you describe your political party affiliation as Democrat, Republican, Independent, some other party or no affiliation?

Democrat 35%
Republican 31%
Independent 23%
Other 7%
Refused 5%

29a. [IF INDEPENDENT, OTHER OR REFUSED] As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic party or toward the Republican party? [RESULTS ARE COMBINED WITH THOSE IN Q. 40]

Democrat 35%
Republican 44%
Neither/Refused 21%

Thank you for your time and have a nice <HOUR1>. If you have any questions or comments about this survey, you may contact Dr. Harry Wilson at (540) 375-2415. You may also contact the Roanoke College Institutional Review Board at (540) 375-24xx.